Housing Assignments

Review tournament results below and check back for regular updates.

Bracket

Champion.jpg

Cloud City

Capacity 8

  • Gabe Rucker – Champion

  • Jeff Leslie – Final

  • Michael Burke – Quarterfinal (Rescued by Jeffrey Leslie)

  • Jack Reid – Semifinal

  • Chris Daschel – Quarterfinal (Rescued by Jeffrey Leslie)

  • Bryan Leslie – Quarterfinal

  • Kepa Zugazaga – Round of 16

  • Pat Bullock – Round of 16

  • David Lantz – Round of 16

 

Jabba's Palace

Capacity 6

  • David Leslie – Semifinal

  • Brian Holste – Quarterfinal

  • Ben Brajcich – Round of 16

  • Daniel Zender – Round of 16

  • Kyle Tull – Round of 16

  • Austin Lanier – Round of 16

WIN YOUR WAY TO CLOUD CITY

For the first time, housing assignments will be put to a competition. A one-on-one Liar's Dice World Cup tournament will take place between August 6th through August 23rd. Win to advance and cast your opponent into the house of your choice. Lose, and your fate is in the hands of your opponent. 

Cloud City is capped at a maximum of 8 people, and Jabba's Palace is capped at a maximum of 6 people. Should either house hit the maximum, the next player cast into that house will replace a previously cast member of that house, at the winner's discretion. 

The winner of the tournament will place them self into the house of their choice.

Tournament forecast

Forecasting individual matches, we turn match-by-match probabilities into a tournament forecast using Monte Carlo simulations. This means that we simulate the tournament thousands of times, and the probability that a player wins the tournament represents the share of simulations in which they are the champion.

We run our simulations hot, which means that each player’s rating changes based on what is happening in a given simulation.

For example, going into the tournament, if Reid and Holste were to meet in the quarterfinals, both expectedly dominating their respective opponents (Zender and Bullock), Reid would have about a 64 percent chance of winning. But if the they were to meet in the quarterfinal with Reid underperforming expectations to scrape past Zender — Reid’s chance of winning the match would be only about 53 percent.

 

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